I found that the biggest difference between grid/DCA and going all-in isn’t the returns—it’s the quality of sleep… With going all-in, during the day you’re stubbornly loud about your “belief,” and at night you stare at the K-line like you’re checking surveillance footage. Once there’s even a little reminder about the staking unlock/token unlock calendar, you start imagining the selling pressure crashing down in your face. Grid/DCA, at least, hard-codes “I’ll buy/sell in batches,” so no matter how the market goes haywire, you don’t have to make a decision every minute—you can slow your heartbeat.

Right now, I’m more inclined to do DCA plus small-position trial and error. If I really want to charge in, I first think through whether I can accept the worst-case scenario—otherwise, don’t pretend. There’s too much information noise, and my noise-reduction strategy is pretty crude: I only watch two things—on-chain large transfers and the unlock time points. The other hot topics from group chats are just background noise; after you’ve watched for a long time, it’s all just emotions.