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2026-05-30 20:05:02

61% to 39% in just one day, the rapid drop in probability makes me suspect that some big players might have known something in advance.

View Original

MeNews2026-05-30 20:01:18

The likelihood of the United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement decreases

ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the prediction "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 30, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 61.0% to 39.0%, a drop of 22.0 percentage points in one day.

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