The Polymarket bet on Iran is fairly large; concentrated positions are entered over a 24-hour period, and on-chain data moves about half a beat ahead of the news.

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MeNews
"Will the U.S. strike Iran before February 22, 2026?" Multiple addresses place concentrated bets, with a total amount exceeding $1M.
ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that within 24 hours, multiple addresses concentrated on the event "Will the U.S. strike Iran before February 22, 2026?" and selected the outcome "Yes," with a total bet amount of approximately $2.1M, indicating that this result received significant funding attention in a short period.
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