Analyst States Why XRP Failed to Replicate Current XLM Massive Rally

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Crypto analyst Cryptobilbuwoo0 shared a new market outlook suggesting that XRP and Stellar’s XLM will continue rising together while largely maintaining their historical price relationship.

In a tweet accompanied by long-term technical charts for both assets, the analyst argued that XLM’s recent strength occurred earlier than XRP’s because the XLM-to-XRP ratio had fallen sharply beforehand.

According to Cryptobilbuwoo0, the ratio between XLM and XRP had collapsed to approximately 9.5:1 before the recent market movement. The analyst stated that this imbalance created conditions for XLM to move first, adding that the recent development “is just why this news came out first.”

The charts attached to the post showed multi-year price structures for both XRP and XLM on a monthly timeframe. The XRP chart highlighted a long-term ascending channel, Fibonacci extension levels, and several breakout zones dating back to 2014.

The projection suggested the possibility of a significant continuation move if the current structure remains intact. The analyst also pointed to recurring breakout formations that previously appeared before major rallies.

Charts Highlight Similar Long-Term Structures

The XLM chart presented a comparable technical setup. It showed repeated breakout confirmations over several years, with multiple resistance levels turning into support during previous cycles. The chart also outlined projected Fibonacci targets extending far above current price levels, indicating that the analyst sees additional upside potential for Stellar if the broader market trend continues.

Both charts emphasized how XRP and XLM have historically followed similar trajectories during major crypto cycles. The analyst suggests that while short-term deviations can occur, the broader trend between the two assets remains connected due to their long-standing correlation.

XRP and XLM have often been compared because of their shared origins and focus on cross-border payments. Jed McCaleb co-founded Stellar after leaving Ripple. Both networks continue to target financial settlement and payment infrastructure use cases. Market participants have frequently noted that the assets tend to react similarly during bullish and bearish periods across the cryptocurrency market.

Community Response Focuses on Historical Correlation

Pointio added that correlation studies regularly place the two assets between 0.85 and 0.95, suggesting that the pair often moves in the same direction. However, the commenter argued that the recent cycle may be different because XLM’s valuation ratio against XRP had weakened substantially before rebounding.

The discussion surrounding the charts reflects growing interest in whether XRP and XLM could continue mirroring each other during the current market cycle. With both assets showing similar technical formations on long-term charts, analysts continue monitoring whether the historical relationship between the two cryptocurrencies will remain intact in the months ahead.

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