$XRP is sitting in a dangerous spot.

Price is trapped below every major EMA, and the alignment is fully bearish.

20 EMA: $1.36
50 EMA: $1.38
100 EMA: $1.46
200 EMA: $1.66

Every bounce is getting rejected, especially around the $1.35–$1.37 supply zone. That range is now the key wall bulls must break.

Fibonacci also looks weak. XRP is still below the 0.236 level at $1.71, meaning there is no real retracement strength yet. Price is deep in discount territory, but buyers are not showing enough power.

Market structure is still clean bearish.

Lower highs.
Lower lows.
Compression under resistance.
Liquidity building below the range.

That $1.30–$1.31 support is the level to watch now.

Lose $1.30 and XRP can slide toward $1.20, then $1.11.

Reclaim $1.37 and we may see short-term relief toward $1.40–$1.46.

RSI around 39–42 keeps momentum weak, with no strong bullish divergence.

Current condition: range compression near breakdown
Bias: short-term bearish, mid-term bearish

$XRP is not dead, but bulls need to prove strength fast.

Break $1.30 and the downside opens.

Trade sharp. Let’s go.