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June 30, 2026, current price around 73,680
Current 4-hour trend: It looks like we've already tested the bottom three times near 72,800 and held. There's not much value in chasing short positions now; better to wait for a larger rebound to eat a big move. Not to mention going long on a rebound—what if the rebound doesn't go far? You'll get trapped! At this point, it's best to stay in cash and wait. 78,000 is very likely unreachable; don't hold onto illusions. The rebound will at most reach 76,000. If it hits 76,000, definitely go short, go short, go short!
✅ Today's strategy (unchanged from previous posts, absolutely no ambiguity)
1. Short when the rebound reaches between 74,154 and 75,447 or touches the "trend line"
Make sure to build positions gradually, or use a grid bot. Take profit around 71,524. This can yield over 3,000 points of profit. (This is the first position)
2. If the rebound reaches near 75,447, add another order—rare opportunity. (This is the second position). Take profit as above, nearly 5,000 points of profit. (This is the second position)
3. If the rebound reaches near 75,447, you can also buy some BTC 5S spot and hold until 60k before selling. Over 15,000 points of profit. (This is the third position)
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Daily trend (bear)
As long as the daily chart hasn't broken through 90,400, don't speak of a bull market (breakout points will adjust with the market)
· Bull market conditions: daily close above 90,400 + sustained increasing volume
· Current state: bear market structure remains, treat rebounds cautiously
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Not recommended to open long positions against the trend; doing so will make you uncomfortable, you’ll lack confidence, and sleep poorly!
Never use high leverage to gamble; gamblers have bad endings!
Follow me for daily updates, opinions are never ambiguous! Admit mistakes when wrong, act decisively when right!
#btc