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$HYPE Short selling trading plan | Trend-following trading record
This trade strictly follows the right-side trading principle, without pre-judgment, only following, centered on "signal confirmation + structural validation + rule execution," implementing a follow strategy after trend reversal:
1. Trend reversal signal confirmation: Top divergence formed, momentum exhausted
During the price surge, the price movement and momentum indicator form a clear top divergence, with bullish momentum continuously weakening, and upward driving force showing irreversible exhaustion, providing an early warning signal for trend reversal.
2. Key validation for right-side entry: Support break + lack of rebound, downward structure established
Price breaks below the key support level of 64.5, announcing the end of the upward trend; then dips to stabilize at 57.25, with rebounds only reaching the 62.7-63.7 range, failing to break previous highs or form new upward momentum, and the second attempt to rise fails, officially establishing the downward trend structure.
This step is the core of right-side trading: not guessing the top in advance, only shorting after the downward trend is clear.
3. Trading plan and risk control execution (the lifeline of right-side trading)
- Trading direction: Short on the right side (follow after trend reversal confirmation)
- Target level: 51.5 (a key support level for the continuation of the downtrend, gradually realized according to trend-following rhythm)
- Stop-loss level: around 68 (near the previous high, if the price breaks above the previous high, it indicates the downtrend logic has failed, exit decisively, and control risk)
The essence of right-side trading is to abandon the game of "bottom fishing and top guessing," only acting in line with the trend after it is clear. From divergence warning to structural break, then to rebound validation, each step waits for the signal to complete before entering, using rules to filter subjective judgments, and risk control to hold the bottom line, ensuring every step of the trade is on the side of probability. #$HYPE