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📊 June Fed Rate Decision — Are We Heading for a Hike?

With Kevin Woor officially the Fed Chair, the market is now fully in the “Woor era.” Traders are betting aggressively — CME FedWatch shows nearly 70% probability of another rate hike this year. The macro trend is clearly shifting, and volatility is likely to increase.

Here’s my take:

Hawkish bias: Woor’s first statements indicate he’s focused on inflation control, making a rate hike in June plausible.

Market reaction: If the Fed surprises to the upside, expect USD strength and short-term pressure on risk assets, including BTC and equities.

Trading strategy: I’m hedging positions with short-term USD pairs while keeping a small long on equities for a possible dovish surprise. Managing risk is crucial — the market can swing fast on any hint from the Fed.

For my prediction: I expect a 25bps hike in June, followed by a pause while the Fed assesses the macro impact — this aligns with the FedWatch probability and current market positioning.

How are you approaching this? Are you positioning for a hawkish move, hedging for volatility, or sitting on the sidelines to watch the announcement?

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