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📊 Federal Interest Rate Decision in June — Are We Heading for a Hike?
With Kevin Woor officially becoming the Fed Chair, the market is now fully in the “Woor” era. Traders are betting aggressively — CME FedWatch shows nearly a 70% chance of another rate hike this year. The macro trend is clearly shifting, and volatility is likely to increase.
Here’s my opinion:
Hawkish bias: Woor’s first statement indicates he is focused on controlling inflation, making a rate hike in June reasonable.
Market reaction: If the Fed surprises to the upside, expect a strong USD and short-term pressure on risk assets, including BTC and stocks.
Trading strategy: I hedge my position with short-term USD pairs while maintaining a small long position in stocks for potential dovish surprises. Managing risk is crucial — the market can swing quickly from any Fed signals.
For my prediction: I expect a 25bps hike in June, followed by a pause as the Fed assesses macro impacts — this aligns with FedWatch probabilities and current market positioning.
What’s your approach? Are you positioning for a hawkish move, hedging against volatility, or sitting on the sidelines to watch the announcement?