At that time, $HYPE surged to 63, I understood the situation and shorted, and I thought it would fall to around 40. At the same time, around 62, I shorted twice, but later the technical analysis showed that it couldn't be bearish, it wouldn't fall further, and volume was increasing, rising. Then I reminded everyone that hype couldn't be shorted anymore. I went long at 58, especially after I analyzed and received a message that XXX's name, which I didn't remember, released a lot of coins, repeatedly, and the market all thought he would dump the market. I knew hype would push the price up, and my long position was correct.



Sure enough, hype surged again. The market is changing, and you must adjust according to the change. It’s possible that at this second I analyzed as bullish, but if something happens later, the trend will change. That’s why I often say, trend level, analysis level, entry level, trading level—it's a whole, and it’s different.

I don’t know how many people got caught short on hype. From a technical perspective, hype is expected to go to 70-75. Someone asked me if hype’s call can reach 100, and whether to enter now. I said I don’t know. I don’t call the shots, I don’t manipulate the market. I can only judge when the trend has played out, or when I see signs, I can enter, or I prepare for floating losses in advance. I’m not a whale!

Recently, $SUI has indeed been disappointing. The mainnet has had several issues. I’ve decided to give up on him. If everyone still remembers the Sol downtime incident, you’ll understand why I’m not optimistic about Sol, and I don’t see the 500, 1000! fundamentals, it’s all about the core.

Tonight, Bitcoin dropped 725. It now looks like it’s just to poke and cause damage, preparing for a rally. The initial target is 743, then 755-760. The main news is Trump’s continued rhetoric—whether to strike Iran or not. I can’t predict that; it depends on how Trump draws the line. I think it’s a positive signal, and it will push the price up. This time, I exited early to lock in profits, but I’ve also improved myself. When it dropped to 721, I didn’t move. Even if it drops to 724, I didn’t act. When it rose earlier, I didn’t push for a stop-loss! I firmly believe my judgment is correct, my entry logic is sound, and my take-profit is around 743, so I exited. If it reaches 760, I won’t regret it. If it gets there, I can short again—there are plenty of opportunities!

Confidence comes from repeated practice, learning from failures, and moving forward with reverence for the market.
$BTC
HYPE7.23%
SUI-1.28%
SOL1.28%
BTC0.31%
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IndianOldSparrow
· 2h ago
What is the biggest risk of hype? Where is the support level?
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