$GENIUS Professional technical analysis — GENIUS/USDT (4H)

The structure shown now is quite delicate. The market has just made a strong bearish breakdown with volume acceleration and loss of the main support.

What I see on the chart

The price fell from the 0.74–0.82 zone, leaving a clear distribution.

The red SuperTrend line remains very high (~0.63), confirming a strong downtrend.

The MACD continues to cross downward and the histogram increases negatively → there is still selling pressure.

The current red candle looks like a liquidity sweep below supports.

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Important zones

1. Critical support

Zone:

0.40 – 0.42

That was where the previous explosive rally started.
It is the most important zone now.

If the price holds there:

institutional accumulation may appear,

strong technical rebound,

and short positions may close.

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2. Risk zone

If it loses:

0.40

the market will probably look for:

0.35

even 0.28–0.30

because there is almost no historical liquidity below.

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Current liquidity

Upper liquidity (sell orders)

0.61 – 0.64

0.74 – 0.82

Many buyers got trapped there.

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Lower liquidity (stop orders and buy orders)

0.42

0.40

0.35

The market usually searches for these zones before a strong rebound.

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Professional strategy

Conservative entry (safer)

Wait for:

1. it to stop falling,

2. a strong rejection candle appears,

3. and buying volume.

Ideal entry:

0.41 – 0.44

Stop loss:

below 0.38

Targets:

TP1 → 0.52

TP2 → 0.61

TP3 → 0.74

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Aggressive entry (riskier)

If you want to do “catch the knife”:

small entry at 0.46–0.47

but ONLY with little capital.

Because the chart still does not confirm reversal.

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What is most professional now

The common mistake is entering “because it fell a lot.”

Institutional traders usually wait for:

consolidation,

absorption of sales,

and a break of minor structure.

Right now:

the trend remains bearish,

but it is entering a zone where accumulation could appear.

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My personal market reading

The price will probably do one of these two:

Scenario 1 (more likely)

drop to 0.42

strong rebound

then retest support

Scenario 2

quick rebound to 0.52–0.58

and then another drop

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What a professional trader would do

They wouldn’t put all their capital now.

They would make scaled purchases:

25% at 0.46

35% at 0.42

40% only if it recovers strongly to 0.52

This greatly reduces risk.