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After the sharp drop in WTI crude oil, the most unfortunate are not retail investors, but the stubborn players who are "full position bottom-fishing."
After WTI fell below $90, two types of people appeared in the market.
First type:
"Finally dropped, I've been waiting to bottom-fish for a long time!"
Second type:
"I've already bottom-fished three times."
The most classic routine in the oil market is to make everyone think they bought low enough, only for the price to go even lower.
Many retail investors see the oil price drop and instinctively think:
"It's fallen so much, it should rebound, right?"
But financial markets never talk about "should."
Especially for high-volatility assets like crude oil, once emotions get out of control, prices can be more ridiculous than jokes.
This round of oil price adjustment boils down to one core issue:
The market is starting to doubt the global economy.
Although US data isn't collapsing yet, high interest rates have already put noticeable pressure on consumption; Europe is still recovering slowly; manufacturing sentiment hasn't shown a super breakout.
When capital sees this, it immediately starts recalculating demand.
And crude oil prices, in essence, are a thermometer for the global economy.
If the market feels the economy is hot, it rises;
If the market feels the economy is cold, it falls.
So WTI breaking below $90 is not just a number change, but more like an emotional turning point.
Many funds that previously went all-in on long positions are now actively reducing risk.
The most interesting thing is that every time the market declines, a large number of "philosophers" are born.
Someone says: "Patience is the most important in investing."
Someone says: "The market is always right."
And someone says: "I'm just holding long-term."
Basically, it translates to:
"Temporarily trapped."
But veteran traders are not as panicked.
Because they know that the biggest feature of the crude oil market is:
There is no forever one-way trend.
It rises too much, it will fall;
It falls too much, it will rebound.
Especially around $90, which is a key psychological zone, once broken, it can easily trigger emotional panic selling, but after a deep drop, it also tends to attract bottom-fishing funds.
Plus, OPEC+ could continue to cut production at any time, so the bears are also hesitant to celebrate completely.
Thus, the market enters a very dramatic state:
The bulls are unwilling;
The bears dare not be too greedy;
Retail investors are refreshing their accounts every day.
And the most uncomfortable are actually high-leverage players.
Because the biggest destructive power of crude oil is not the direction, but the volatility.
You might be right about the direction, but a sudden sharp震荡 can knock you out first.
That's why many veterans often say:
Trading crude oil, the most important thing is not how much you make, but not to die first.
This phrase sounds like a joke, but it’s actually the truth. #WTI原油失守90美元