June Major Events: Read this, and you won't be confused! Beginners can understand too!

First, the conclusion: I won't go long in June.
It's not certain to fall, but the win rate for going long is very low.
In these 7 days, each event could change the market trend.

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June 5th (Friday) U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls

Simply put, it's the "U.S. employment report."

· Good employment (more jobs) → Economy is okay → No rate cut expected → Negative
· Poor employment (fewer jobs) → Economy is bad → Rate cut expectations rise → Positive

Don't bet on the data; wait until it’s confirmed.

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June 10th (Wednesday) U.S. CPI

Simply put, it's the "U.S. inflation report."
April CPI 3.8%, higher than the expected 3.7%, the highest in nearly three years.
This means: the rate cut expectation is completely dashed.

Oil prices are still high due to geopolitical conflicts, making May CPI hard to be low. Inflation can't be contained, and expectations for rate hikes will only grow stronger.

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June 12th (Friday) SpaceX IPO

Raising $75 billion, the largest IPO in human history.
Where does this money come from? It’s taken from pools buying tech stocks and Bitcoin.
Referring to Coinbase’s IPO in 2021, when BTC peaked at 64,800, then halved.

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June 17-18th Federal Reserve Rate Decision + Powell’s First Speech
The probability of no rate change in June has risen to 97.3%, almost certain.
The key is not the rate, but what Powell says. He’s usually hawkish; if he signals “possible rate hikes within the year,” the market will be very uncomfortable.

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June 7th OPEC+ Meeting
Simply put, it’s “oil-producing countries meeting to decide oil prices.”
Oil prices rise → Inflation rises → Negative; oil prices fall → Inflation drops → Positive.

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June 16-18th Major Central Bank Rate Decisions
Central banks of Japan, UK, Switzerland, etc., will make decisions simultaneously.
Global central bank tightening is the trend. One easing isn’t enough; tightening together is the main direction.

⚠ Hidden Negative
June 12th - July 20th World Cup in the US, Canada, and Mexico
Historical pattern: trading volume decreases during the World Cup, liquidity shrinks.
June is already densely negative, plus the World Cup diverts attention, making the market even quieter.

📌 June Plan
· Wait for opportunities to short
· If not, just wait
· Don’t look for longs, don’t bottom fish

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$BTC5S