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Today I saw those "coincidental transfers" again, a bunch of addresses transferring a few cents to each other at the same time as if they had coordinated. The comment section started speculating about "internal information / big players positioning"... I now prefer to break it down first: where the money comes from, how many hops it takes, whether it's the same source of funds splitting and testing different routes, and finally where it ends up (sometimes it's just the same group of people moving money back and forth to wash transactions). I also check the interactions on the test network, many of which are actually for expected points; everyone claims to be laid-back, but their actions are quite honest. The guesses about whether the mainnet will issue tokens are almost crowding the chain.
What I fear most isn't losing money, but losing control — knowing I don't understand what's happening but forcing myself to push through, ending up unable to explain what I'm even doing. Anyway, I’m the kind of person who picks up scraps; it's okay to take it slow. As long as I can clarify the path before confirming.