$ETH Signal】Short opportunity: 1H rebound momentum weakening + 4H downtrend continuation


$ETH RSI drops to 28.9, buy depth ratio is 0.45, selling pressure continues to push prices lower. Although the 1H MACD attempts a bullish crossover, the strength is very weak, and the Bollinger Band lower band around 1965 has not yet been broken with increased volume. The 4H bearish histogram has shrunk but the trend remains unchanged, with the EMA20/50 bearish alignment clearly suppressing. Short-term rebound highs keep moving lower, and there are no obvious signs of support from funds.

🎯Direction: short

⚡Entry/Order: 1981.0191 - 1986.9800

🛑Stop loss: 2035.0154

🚀Target 1: 1914.9269

🚀Target 2: 1878.9004

🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: Reduce 50% of the position after reaching Target 1, and move the stop loss to breakeven. If the price falls back into the entry zone, automatically exit to protect capital.

Depth logic: The currently low funding rate (0.0030%) and stable open interest indicate that bulls are not panicking and closing positions, but the depth imbalance of -38% suggests active selling dominance. The 1H RSI is only 35.7, indicating limited rebound space, and the middle band of the 4H Bollinger around 2061 provides strong resistance. If the price rebounds to around 1985 without volume breakout above the EMA20_1h (2002), bearish momentum will be reactivated. This risk-reward ratio of 1.5 makes shorting in oversold zones uncertain, but the short-term structure leans more towards downward correction.

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