1.80 USD TON, do you want to buy the dip?

Telegram's 900 million users directly become the bagholders, the founder personally staked 2.2 million tokens, and the cost dropped sixfold overnight—yet just now, the price plummeted from 2.75 back to 1.80, down 13% in 7 days, RSI dead cross, MACD turning green.

First look at the surface: after a sharp rise, a sharp fall is inevitable, the script is exactly the same.

In early May, after four months of sideways trading, TON suddenly exploded, jumping from 1.30 to 2.75 in one go, a weekly increase of over 90%. All groups were shouting “TON will take over SOL.” But what happened? Profit-taking hit, now at 1.80, a 35% retracement from the high.

First thing: Telegram turned TON into its own child.

Not just cooperation, but direct takeover. Telegram official became TON’s largest validator, staking 2.2 million tokens, launching the “Make TON Great Again” roadmap. Catchain 2.0 is live, transaction fees cut sixfold at once—only 0.00039 TON per transaction.

Second thing: on-chain data isn’t actually bad.

Fees and revenue grew 29.5% month-over-month, developer activity is increasing, TVL remains competitive among Layer 1s. Institutions like TONX hold over 200 million tokens, with a high staking ratio.

That 90% surge in May already overextended the “Telegram deep integration” narrative. Now what’s missing is the next catalyst: TON Pay 2.0? Bitcoin bridge? Or a Mini App suddenly going viral?

Third thing: technicals have reached a critical point.

1.80 is exactly the 200-day moving average. The dividing line between bulls and bears.

Hold → retest the high at 2.20+
Fail to hold → next support at 1.60 or even 1.40

RSI at 44 (neutral-weak), MACD dead cross but narrowing bars, Stoch RSI shows oversold signals: short-term bounce possible, but strength is doubtful.

On one side:

- The only settlement layer for Telegram’s 900 million users

- Official involvement, fees cut sixfold

- Institutional holdings + high staking rate

- The trend from 1.30 is still intact

On the other side:

- 13% drop in 7 days, weaker than the market

- Infinite supply, total supply 5.18 billion, ongoing unlocks

- Lack of new catalysts

- Market unstable, BTC oscillating between 72k-74k

Key level at 1.80, the bottom line for bulls and bears.

Resistance above: 2.00 (psychological level) → 2.19 (previous high) → 2.75

Support below: 1.74 → 1.69 (strong support) → 1.60

Short-term traders:

Light long positions at 1.78-1.82, stop-loss at 1.69, take half profit at 2.00. Confirm with volume spike + RSI crossing above 50, otherwise don’t hold hard.

Swing traders:

Wait for daily candles to stabilize above 1.80, or wait for BTC to stabilize above 75k to drive Altseason, then buy in. Target 2.20-2.50.

Long-term believers:

DCA in at 1.70-1.80 in stages, but don’t exceed 15% of total funds. Telegram’s roadmap aims for 500 million users by 2028, reaching $3-5 by late 2026 is not a dream—if you can hold.

TON now is like SOL at the start of 2024—

Everyone’s complaining “relying on daddy to rise,” but when the Telegram ecosystem really explodes, you’ll realize: it’s not that TON isn’t good enough, it’s that you didn’t understand the power of 900 million users. #股票交易挑战最高赢17000U #股票交易挑战最高赢17000U $BTC $ETH $TON