Recently, I saw someone mention "on-chain coincidence transfers," where two transactions almost happen at the same time and with the same amount, leading to conspiracy theories. I usually start by breaking down the path: who initiated it, whether it's the same routing contract, if there's an intermediate jump to a CEX hot wallet, and which liquidity pool it finally lands in—many "coincidences" are actually processed by the same script in batch.

A few days ago, I casually checked an example: 0x8b…12a first sent to 0xrouter…9f, then split into two parts into the same LP, with gas deliberately kept in a similar range. Basically, they do this to prevent you from noticing, making it look like a coincidence… Anyway, after I saw it, I just wanted to put this into a table and avoid arguments.

By the way, recently, with social mining/fan token schemes where "attention equals mining," I increasingly feel like they are creating more "coincidence paths": you think it's hype, but actually it's incentivizing traffic to flow into the same pool. It's quite lively, but don’t take it too seriously—at least understand the on-chain path before getting emotional.