Is ETH about to lose the $2000 mark? The market has already started to write its "will" in advance

In the last few days of May, Ethereum finally couldn't hold on anymore.
After a period of consolidation, ETH dropped 2.61% in a single day, approaching the psychological barrier of $2000.
Now, the overall market atmosphere is very much like:
— The homeroom teacher has already reached the classroom door, while the students in the back row are still secretly talking.
Everyone knows danger is coming soon.
But no one knows when the "knife" will fall.
Especially at this position, ETH is very sensitive.
Because $2000 is not an ordinary number.
It is a "faith threshold."
Once broken, market sentiment could instantly turn into:
"It's over, the bear market is here."
But the question is.
Will ETH really break below $2000 by the end of May?
My personal current judgment is:
— It might fake a breakdown, but probably won't close below $2000.
Why?
Because the biggest characteristic of the market now is not "despair."
But "hesitation."
ETF expectations are still there;
On-chain ecosystems are still active;
But funds are clearly starting to be cautious.
Especially recently, with BTC weakening, Middle East tensions escalating, and the Federal Reserve leaning hawkish.
The entire risk market is starting to cool down.
High-beta assets like ETH naturally face the greatest pressure.
But don’t forget.
There are still a lot of leveraged shorts in the market.
Especially after the news that whales are shorting ETH 25x, many people have started to collectively turn bearish.
And what is the most skilled at in the crypto world?
— Specifically countering consensus expectations.
So I actually think:
The most likely scenario at the end of the month is:
ETH briefly dips below $2000, then quickly rebounds near $2050.
Simply put:
Let the shorts have five minutes of satisfaction; then make them doubt everything again.
Because the most profitable way in the market right now has never been the trend.
But — torture. #Polymarket每日热点