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Lately, looking at the options market has been a bit emotional: the concept of time value, frankly, is just "slowly collecting taxes" every day. Buyers pay taxes in exchange for volatility opportunities, sellers collect taxes but carry the tail risk. Many people only focus on the direction, but as time wears away day by day, it's not a matter of wrong judgment, but being beaten by the calendar... Now I care more about whether this "tax" I pay is worth it, if there's a way to hedge, rather than obsessively explaining each candlestick.
AI agents and automated trading are also quite similar: the bigger the narrative, the easier it is to overlook the security details of on-chain interactions. Running scripts quickly doesn't mean you're earning steadily, especially with options, which can crash at extreme volatility—permissions, authorizations, slippage, these small pitfalls can all be amplified.
I'm no longer chasing explanations; if randomness happens, so be it. The only thing I can do is calculate the time value clearly and not let myself become fuel for no reason.