On May 28, 2026, the short-term oversold condition is in a stacking state, so two plans are provided: one for contrarian rebound (against the trend, high risk), and one for shorting after the rebound (following the trend, relatively more stable).

(1) Contrarian Short-term Long (Oversold Rebound, for Aggressive Traders Only)

· Entry Range: 73,800 – 74,200 USDT. You can enter a small position near the current price or place an order at 73,900 waiting.
· Stop Loss: 73,500 USDT. If it breaks below the lower Bollinger Band and accelerates, exit unconditionally.
· Take Profit Targets: First target 75,200 USDT (previous small platform low), second target 75,800 USDT (near MA60).
· Position and Leverage: Spot or futures with no more than 2x leverage, keep position within 1% of total funds, quick in and out, no overnight holding.

Logic: RSI6 has dropped to 28.12, indicating a historically extreme oversold condition, and the price has touched the lower Bollinger Band, which usually signals a technical correction. But note, rebounds in weak markets can be very short-lived, and strict stop-loss is essential.

(2) Trend-following Short (Enter after rebound, recommended)

· Entry Range: 75,500 – 76,000 USDT. Be patient and wait for the price to rebound to MA60 (75,686) or MA5 (76,030). When signs of stagnation appear (such as upper shadow, decreasing volume), open short.
· Stop Loss: 76,500 USDT. If the price re-establishes above MA10, the bearish logic weakens, and stop-loss should be triggered.
· Take Profit Targets: First target 73,800 USDT, second target 73,000 USDT.
· Position and Leverage: Use normal position size, 2-3x leverage on futures is sufficient.

Logic: The major trend remains downward, with moving averages in a full bearish alignment. A rebound to the moving average resistance levels is a classic opportunity to short in line with the trend.

(3) Breakout Follow-up (Wait for clear signals)

· Short Entry Condition: Volume increases (VOL > 5k) and the candle closes below 73,500 USDT.
Entry: Light short near 73,400 USDT, stop loss at 74,200, target 72,000.
· Long Entry Condition: Volume increases and price stabilizes above 76,200 USDT (must break MA10).
Entry: Light long near 76,300 USDT, stop loss at 75,500, target 77,500.

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4. Overall Recommendations

· If you are an intraday aggressive trader, try going long near 74,000, with strict stop-loss at 73,500, and exit around 75,200—don’t hold on to the fight.
· If you are a swing or trend trader, it’s advised to abandon bottom-fishing; patiently wait for the price to rebound to 75,500–76,000 and then build short positions in batches, which aligns best with the current trend.
· If you already hold short positions, consider partial profit-taking around 74,000, and set a breakeven stop-loss on the remaining to watch for 73,000.
· Risk warning: The current market sentiment is fragile, and any sudden news (such as US-Iran negotiations, macro data) could trigger sharp volatility. Regardless of long or short, set stop-losses, and leverage should not exceed 3x.