Seasonal signals are just signals, but the 60k support still holds. During periods of bullish and bearish divergence, chasing the highs and lows is the most taboo. Position management is a thousand times more important than guessing the top or bottom.

Bitcoin retreated this month after meeting resistance at around $83,000, confirming the seasonal signal of “sell in May and go away.” If May turns red, the short term could fall to $68,200, and the average decline over the next 1–3 months would be notably larger. Long-term divergence is evident: after a red May, June saw an upswing, but after excluding anomalies, the increase was only about 12.9%. Breaking below $76,000 would increase the risk of a bear market. The current level is around $75,000—above the $60,000 support zone—while the market remains divided between bulls and bears.