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It can be observed that the issue of inflation is currently a topic everyone is talking about, but most people still do not understand what inflation really is and how it affects our lives.
Let me explain simply: inflation is a situation where the prices of goods and services tend to increase continuously. In other words, the value of money decreases, so when you want to buy the same item, you have to pay more. For example, ten years ago, 50 baht could buy many bowls of rice, but today, 50 baht can only buy one bowl. Moreover, if we look at the prices of essential goods like meat, chili, oil, and gas, these prices have fluctuated dramatically over the past few years, which is a clear sign that inflation is impacting our daily expenses.
Interestingly, inflation does not harm everyone. Some groups benefit greatly, such as entrepreneurs and merchants who can raise their prices in line with inflation, thus increasing their profits. However, people with fixed salaries are at a disadvantage because their wages usually increase at a rate lower than inflation.
Let's look at the causes of this. After the global economy recovered from the crisis, demand for goods surged rapidly, but supply could not keep up. Part of this was due to supply chain issues that had not yet normalized. The prices of oil, gas, and minerals soared due to shortages and production constraints. Another main reason is that both the government and private sectors spent a lot of money, resulting in more money circulating in the system. Inflation is a consequence of the imbalance between supply and demand.
Our country is currently facing a situation called stagflation, which combines high inflation with sluggish economic growth. If this situation worsens, people's purchasing power will decline, businesses will struggle to sell, reduce production, and lay off employees, leading to higher unemployment. This is a bad scenario for the overall economy.
So, how does inflation impact our lives? The clearest effect is the rising cost of living, which reduces the purchasing power of money. If you keep your money without investing, its value will gradually decline. Therefore, inflation is a primary reason why investors need to find ways to invest and protect their money.
In Thailand's case, data from the IMF as of January 2024 shows that the global economy is expected to grow by 3.1% in 2024, and the declining inflation rate helps reduce concerns. However, risks remain from geopolitical tensions and supply issues. Policymakers need to balance managing inflation with avoiding a slowdown in growth.
Regarding how to cope, it’s advisable to consider investing rather than holding cash, as its value will decrease over time. Investing in stocks, mutual funds, gold, or other assets that offer higher returns than deposit interest rates is appropriate. Some sectors, such as banking and insurance, benefit from inflation because higher interest rates increase their profits.
In summary, inflation is an economic phenomenon that cannot be avoided. But if understood and prepared well, we can protect ourselves and create opportunities. This is different from deflation, where prices fall, which is more dangerous for the economy. Therefore, keeping track of news and adjusting accordingly should be a practice for all investors.