Futures
Access hundreds of perpetual contracts
CFD
Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Introduction to Futures Trading
Learn the basics of futures trading
Futures Events
Join events to earn rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to practice risk-free trading
Launch
CandyDrop
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
Pre-IPOs
Unlock full access to global stock IPOs
Alpha Points
Trade on-chain assets and earn airdrops
Futures Points
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Promotions
AI
Gate AI
Your all-in-one conversational AI partner
Gate AI Bot
Use Gate AI directly in your social App
GateClaw
Gate Blue Lobster, ready to go
Gate for AI Agent
AI infrastructure, Gate MCP, Skills, and CLI
Gate Skills Hub
10K+ Skills
From office tasks to trading, the all-in-one skill hub makes AI even more useful.
GateRouter
Smartly choose from 40+ AI models, with 0% extra fees
Polymarket latest odds exposure: BTC most likely to close at this "mind-blowing" position by the end of May
Recently, BTC is very much like falling in love.
You think it's about to rise.
Suddenly, it gives cold treatment.
You're ready to give up.
Then it gives you a little hope.
On May 27th, after Bitcoin fell below $76k, the whole market started to enter a "mutual scare mode."
Two very obvious voices in social circles:
One shouting:
"The bull market is over, run now!"
The other shouting:
"This is the main force shaking out, $80k is coming soon!"
The most authentic result is from Polymarket.
Because the people there don’t bet with words, but with real money.
Currently, the most betted range still concentrates on:
$75k—$78k.
Why does the market judge this way?
Because BTC has entered the most classic "high-level oscillation period."
Simply put:
It can't go up;
But it can't go down either.
The reason is quite realistic.
ETF funds are still supporting;
Institutions haven't clearly retreated;
But short-term sentiment is already noticeably fatigued.
Especially recently, AI stocks in the US have been too strong.
A lot of hot money is starting to flow back into tech stocks.
BTC's ability to attract money has actually decreased.
What kind of market trend is most likely to appear at this time?
— Frustrating.
A small rise,诱多 (诱多 means "to lure with more gains");
A small fall,诱空 ("to lure with more drops");
In the end, no one makes money.
The most miserable are contract traders.
Because this kind of oscillating market is specifically designed to harvest emotions.
Many people have recently entered a split personality mode:
Watching bullish during the day;
Watching bearish at night;
Researching Buddhism at dawn.
Personally, my most preferred closing position is around:
$76k.
Because this position is the most "fair" to the market.
It won't excite the bulls too much;
And it won't make the bears too happy.
And the biggest rule of the market is:
It will never make most people comfortable.
Many people now always want to bet on the direction.
But true experts have already started controlling their positions.
Because they know:
In oscillating markets, surviving is more important than predicting.
#Polymarket每日热点