Polymarket has started betting: BTC won't crash in May, but it will be very "doggy"

Currently, BTC is very much like a boss drawing a pie.
You always feel like it's about to take off.
But in the end, it only gives you a little hope each day.
After dropping below $76k on May 27th, many people's first reaction was:
"It's over, a big correction is coming."
But interestingly,
Not many people are actually betting heavily on a sharp decline on Polymarket.
Most of the funds are betting that:
BTC will continue to fluctuate sideways at the end of the month.
Why?
Because there is no real panic in the market right now.
If it were truly the eve of a major bear market, you would typically see:
ETF outflows crazily;
Whales transferring coins on-chain;
Stablecoins shrinking.
But currently, these signals are not obvious.
What does this mean?
It means the market is more like a "correction" rather than a "collapse."
I even feel now:
In the last few days of May, the most likely trend isn't a sharp rise or fall.
But—grinding.
Grinding emotions;
Grinding patience;
Grinding leverage.
Especially high-leverage players have recently been driven crazy.
Morning sees some short-term profits;
Afternoon rebounds are fully given back;
Evening continues to open positions out of defiance;
Late night, they get liquidated directly.
In the end, they realize:
They're not trading.
They're working for the exchange.
Personally, I currently favor a closing range of:
$76k to $78k.
This position makes the most sense.
Because right now, the market still lacks the fuel to push higher again;
But support below is very clear.
To put it simply:
The bulls are not that strong;
The bears are not that fierce.
At such times, the market's favorite game is to shake and harvest.
And those who truly survive are often not the most accurate predictors,
but the ones who can best control their positions.
After all, in the crypto world:
Not getting liquidated is itself a victory. #Polymarket每日热点