BTC May Finale: The 70k Defense or the 80k Charge?

Recently, the crypto world has entered the "Guessing Game for All."
Will BTC continue to fall, or suddenly surge?
In the last few days of May, this question has almost become the traffic secret of the entire network.
Someone shouts:
"End of the bull market!"
And others shout:
"This is the last chance to get on board!"
But what truly has reference value is actually Polymarket.
Because the people there don't post based on emotions.
They bet with real money.
Currently, the largest betting range still focuses on:
75k–78k USD.
This indicates that the market's biggest consensus right now is:
Consolidation.
Why is that?
Because the market currently lacks enough strong positive news,
and there are no real major negative signals.
ETF funds are still in;
institutions haven't run away;
but short-term sentiment is already noticeably fatigued.
At such times, the most likely trend is:
Repeated tug-of-war.
And this kind of market, the most painful for contract traders.
Because the upward movement lacks sustainability;
the downward movement also lacks sustainability.
The final result is:
Both bulls and bears get trapped.
Personally, I now lean towards:
BTC will re-stand around 77k USD by the end of the month.
Because the bearish sentiment has already become a bit overheated.
And there's a classic rule in crypto:
When everyone starts to look bearish together, the market often rebounds first.
Especially as the month nears its end.
Many institutions need to rebalance their positions.
A sudden technical surge at this time is actually very normal.
Of course.
This doesn't mean a quick return to a super bull market.
I prefer to think:
May is a consolidation phase;
June will be the real decision-maker.
So, what's most important now isn't guessing the rise or fall.
But keeping good positions.
Because the big trend often appears when everyone is least patient. #Polymarket每日热点