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Castle Securities and Dudley are both calling for the Federal Reserve to pivot, but their reasons are completely opposite—one thinks inflation can't be contained, the other fears a credibility collapse. The AI boom and debt issues are stirring the game even more, and the rate cut window is truly closing.
April CPI year-over-year increased by 3.8%, driven by oil prices, the AI boom, and a loose financial environment, with interest rates approaching neutral.
Former NY Fed President Dudley warns that the Fed's credibility is damaged, with long-term inflation rising and almost no reason for rate cuts, as AI, debt, and independence issues intensify market concerns.