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I just saw someone ask in the group what Market Sentiment is and why traders should pay attention to it.
So I want to share my understanding of this because it’s very important if you’re serious about trading.
Simply put, Market Sentiment is the feeling of the market—investors’ confidence or fear toward assets at a certain time.
Everyone probably knows the terms "bear market" and "bull market," right? That’s the expression of investor sentiment, driven by group psychology.
When the market is down, everyone panics and runs away. Conversely, when the market is up, everyone rushes in.
I’ve observed that when the stock market drops, money flows into safer assets like gold because investors lack confidence.
Once stocks recover, money flows back in. That’s the real movement of sentiment in the market.
If you want to analyze sentiment well, you need to know the tools first.
I’ll recommend four practical methods.
The first is The VIX, the fear index— a widely used tool among traders because it indicates market volatility.
If VIX rises = the market is fearful = the bottom might be near.
If VIX falls = the market is confident = it might be in the overbought zone.
The second is the High-Low Index, which measures market breadth by comparing the number of stocks making 52-week highs and lows.
If the value is below 30, it shows investors have confidence in a bear market.
If it’s above 70, it indicates a bull zone.
The Bullish Percent Index (BPI) measures what percentage of stocks are in an uptrend.
If BPI is over 80%, the market is overly confident.
If below 20%, the market is selling too much.
And finally, don’t forget to follow asset news across various platforms, because news greatly influences sentiment.
I remember in 2021 when cryptocurrencies were very hot—everyone talked about it, FOMO was burning hot, the market surged.
But when negative news came out, confidence disappeared, and the market dropped.
Why is sentiment important?
Because it helps you better predict market trends—knowing whether the market will go up or down, and timing your entries and exits.
But don’t forget, sentiment should be used together with technical analysis.
You shouldn’t rely solely on sentiment.
In summary, Market Sentiment is the herd psychology of investors.
When you understand how the market feels, you gain an advantage in trading.
Whether it’s stock sentiment or other assets, I recommend studying these tools seriously, as they will help make your investments more effective.