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Yang Guang bit | May 27 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Core conclusion: US-Iran agreement signing delayed + US military airstrikes break peace expectations, the positive outlook is less than expected, the overall trend of a bearish pattern has been fully established, any rebound is an excellent opportunity to add positions, there will be no trend-based rally, absolutely do not bottom fish.
Today’s thoughts
Entry timing: When price rebounds to the 76800-77000 range, gradually short, directly add on dips at 77000-77200
Stop loss setting: Above 77500
First target: 76000-76200
Second target: 75500-75700
Third target: 74200-74500
Hold cash and observe
If price breaks above 77500 and stabilizes for 1 hour, temporarily observe, wait for 77800 resistance to short again
If price directly breaks below 76000 with no rebound, temporarily observe, wait for a rebound to 76500 before shorting
Market analysis breakdown
Market news is less optimistic than expected (authoritative sources: Caixin, Xinhua News Agency): The US and Iran have not officially signed a ceasefire agreement, only reached a preliminary understanding on $12 billion in frozen assets, negotiations on the wording of the agreement still require several days. On May 26, US military airstrikes hit missile positions in Hormuzgan Province, Iran accused the US of violating the ceasefire, geopolitical tensions flared again, and market optimism from earlier was completely dashed.
Technical bearish trend confirmed: All moving averages on 30-minute and 1-hour charts are in a bearish alignment, Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and 78066 forms a standard double top breakdown structure. On the 4-hour chart, breaking below MA30 key support fully opens the downside space, rebound momentum continues to shrink, and bulls have no resistance.
Funding situation continues to worsen: BTC spot ETF has experienced four consecutive days of large net outflows, institutional funds are rapidly retreating. The contract market’s long-short ratio remains above 1.1, many retail traders are caught in longs above 77000, which will become new selling pressure later.
🚀 The market will never disappoint those who are prepared; what you lack is never the market itself, but a clear strategy to precisely catch the turning points. $BTC #美军打击伊朗