I think the U.S. and Iran are unlikely to finalize a full nuclear deal before the end of May, but the market may still react positively to signs of progress. Trump’s comments and the softer stance on enriched uranium show both sides are trying to avoid escalation, especially with global oil markets watching the Strait of Hormuz closely.

However, a complete agreement usually takes more time because of sanctions, inspections, uranium limits, and political pressure from both sides. I expect continued negotiations rather than a finalized deal this month.
📊 My position: “No deal before end of May”
📈 Strategy: Short-term volatility trade while monitoring oil and crypto market reactions. Any positive headline could create quick pumps in risk assets, but I don’t think a final signature happens this fast.
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