📊 📊 nodi

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**WHICH SCENARIO WOULD YOU LIKE ?**

Over the weekend we got a lot of news regarding the war in the middle east. Many confusing news as always but overall they pointed rather towards de-escalation rather than new escalations. From a higher time frame macro view, it doesnt really matter for Bitcoin imo. but for shortterm price action it matters pretty often. Anyway, it helped BTC to push from 74k towards 77k, while Oil dropped 7-9% over the weekend which helps markets.

SPX & NDX are about to open once again with new ATH‘s, like every week. While BTC has still not managed to reclaim 80k.. something to think about for the bulls imo.

I have my third limit for the BTC short at 84.5 if given. If not, thats also fine since 2/3 fills are also enough. Lets see what the market brings.

I made 3 potential scenarios, interested to hear what would be your preferred scenario ? I know there are many diffetent views out there, some want new aths some want a deeper bearmarket.

1. Relief and rejection at around 79-80k
2. Relief and rejection at around 83-85k
3. new ATHs this year without new lows

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**你想要哪个场景？**

在周末，我们收到了很多关于中东战争的消息。像往常一样，许多消息令人困惑，但总体上它们指向的是缓和而不是新的升级。从更高时间框架的宏观视角来看，这对比特币来说并不重要。但对于短期价格走势来说，这往往是重要的。无论如何，这帮助 BTC 从 74k 推升至 77k，而油价在周末下跌了 7-9%，这对市场是有利的。

SPX 和 NDX 再次即将以新的历史高点开盘，就像每周一样。虽然 BTC 仍未能重新夺回 80k……这对看涨者来说是值得思考的。

如果有机会，我会在 84.5 设置我的第三个 BTC 做空限价单。如果没有，那也没关系，因为 2/3 的成交量也足够了。让我们看看市场会带来什么。

我列出了 3 个潜在场景，想听听你更喜欢哪个场景？我知道外面有很多不同的观点，有些人想要新的历史高点，有些人则希望出现更深的熊市。

1. 在 79-80k 附近反弹并拒绝
2. 在 83-85k 附近反弹并拒绝
3. 今年没有新低的新历史高点
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