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FED COVERS MEETING JUST REACHED ⚠️
The market had been expecting a strong rally after the Kevin Warsh story started spreading...
But $BTC hardly reacted.
The latest CME probabilities now show a different story:
🔶 a 42.5% chance of interest rates at 3.75–4.00%
🔶 a 32.1% chance of no change
🔶 Higher interest rate scenarios are still being priced in
🔶 Traders even assign a 25 basis point increase in the next cycle
Why does this matter:
📉 Higher interest rates = tighter liquidity
📉 Tighter liquidity = pressure on risk assets
📉 Risk assets include $BTC and altcoins
Markets tend to move based on expectations before the actual event occurs.
𝗧𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗵 𝗰𝗼̂𝗻𝗴 𝗚𝗶𝗮𝗼 𝗱𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁:
Immediate reactions indicate that crypto traders are becoming more cautious about aggressive easing stories. If liquidity expectations weaken, volatility could increase, and risk assets may struggle to maintain momentum.
DYOR 🔥
#DailyPolymarketHotspot