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Survey: The Bank of Korea plans to keep interest rates unchanged on May 28, expecting to raise rates starting in the third quarter
A survey conducted by Reuters from May 19 to 25 among 32 economists shows that, except for two who predict a rate hike, all other respondents expect the Bank of Korea to keep the benchmark interest rate at 2.50% on May 28th.
Over 70% (21 out of 29 respondents) forecast at least one rate hike by the end of September, a stark contrast to last month's survey, where only three out of 30 economists expected a 0.25 percentage point increase.
This shift is due to inflation surpassing the central bank's 2.0% target, with April inflation reaching 2.6%, the highest in nearly two years, and Middle Eastern tensions also causing oil prices to stay above $100 per barrel for nearly three months.