What have I been doing these past two weeks?

The last update on market outlook was two weeks ago.
Recap: The grid short at 80,500 has already taken profit.
It was based on the daily chart adjusting to a key zone.
Protectively locking in profits.
What have I been doing during this period?
Watching the market every day, not much desire to share short-term trades.
Participated in some gatherings around the pizza festival.
Also met some new and old friends.
Thoughts: Keep improving, no progress is retreat.
How do I see the market going forward?
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
The main index (BTC), above 75K, is expected to start a new rebound, breaking 78.2K will reverse the 4-hour downtrend.
$XAU Gold has also adjusted roughly, heading down to around 4300-4350, then rising back near 5000.
$CL Crude oil near 90, no longer considering short positions, risk-reward ratio is low, a slight tremor from Trump could easily cause a rebound, which is uncomfortable.
If a true ceasefire occurs, breaking 80 would be about right; without a ceasefire, a rebound to 110 is also about right.
Can there be a complete ceasefire? Not very likely, there will definitely be tug-of-war. Even if there is a ceasefire, there will still be small pulls.
On the macro side, there are many things to watch; one or two sentences can't cover it all.
That's today's spontaneous thoughts, take a look!