#美伊协议草案 US Cointelegraph: Trump Says Iran Deal Near Completion, Crypto Market Short-Term Rebounds

The rebound in crypto prices is sometimes not an on-chain story, but a sudden easing of geopolitical risks.

According to Cointelegraph, U.S. President Trump stated on social media that an agreement between the U.S., Iran, and several Middle Eastern countries has been "largely reached," with final details still under discussion.
Following the announcement, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies briefly increased by about $75 billion. This rebound is not primarily driven by the fundamentals of any particular project, but by the easing of macro risks.
The report mentions that the agreement includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz. This critical waterway affects global energy transportation, and recent tensions had driven up oil prices and suppressed risk assets. Bitcoin previously dropped to a five-week low of around $74,250, then recovered to near $77,000. Its movement indicates that while the crypto market has its own on-chain logic, during high volatility phases, oil prices, wars, interest rates, and dollar liquidity can directly influence short-term market sentiment.
It’s important to note that a rebound does not mean the trend has reversed. The report also states that Bitcoin has yet to break through key resistance levels and remains significantly below its October high last year.
In other words, geopolitical easing can give the market a breather, but the true determinants of medium-term direction are still capital inflows, ETF demand, and macro interest rate expectations. For traders, such news often triggers chasing rallies. A more prudent approach is to first see if the risk event truly materializes, then observe trading volume and key resistance levels. Macro news can ignite the market, but whether it can turn into a trend depends on whether subsequent funds are willing to continue adding fuel. $BTC