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In the early morning, Bitcoin started a rapid breakout from the 76,100 level, surging sharply with a short-term spike of nearly 1,400 points. After touching around 77,500, it clearly ran into resistance. The current price is consolidating in a narrow range around 77,300, and upward momentum has started to weaken. Ethereum is moving in sync, but the rebound strength is weaker than Bitcoin’s; overall, it is still following the rhythm of a corrective repair. This early surge looks intense, but we need to stay clear-headed—an abrupt rally is not a reason to chase. The key is whether price can hold its ground.
After the mid-day session, the 5–15 minute timeframe trading volume gradually faded, and the willingness for buyers to carry the momentum noticeably weakened. This is a classic case of a rapid rise with diminishing volume—a typical divergence between volume and price. This kind of structure usually isn’t a solid signal of a bottom reversal; it’s more like momentum being drained after a short-term emotional explosion. The 77,500 level serves as the lower edge of a prior minor consolidation platform, and combined with the hourly MA60 suppression, once price pushes up to here it gets pressed back. The sell pressure overhead is real—this is not a feint. On the daily timeframe, the market is still running within a downward channel. Whether the 76,100 low from the morning was an emotional rebound after a spike or an effective support needs a second confirmation—one needle pullback cannot be directly treated as a reversal. In the short term, if this 77,500 barrier can’t be broken through, the market will most likely range and then pull back. First look at the support at 76,800; if it can’t hold, then it will continue to probe toward 76,000. Ethereum is relatively weak as well—rebound moves are opportunities for shorts. Only consider cautious long entries again at lower levels.
For short-term thinking, on rebounds facing pressure, continue to focus on high-short positions. For Bitcoin, short around the 77,500 area; downside targets are 76,800–76,000. For Ethereum, short in the 2110–2130 area; targets are 2080–2060. #美伊协议草案 $BTC $ETH