#TradFi交易分享挑战 5.25 Gold Midday Review: Rushing Higher Meets Resistance, Bearish Trend Continues

Market Review: Last week’s gold movement perfectly aligned with previous bearish forecasts, with prices surging higher then facing resistance and falling back, with the lowest dip reaching around 4490. This Monday morning, gold experienced a quick short-term rebound, rising to a high of 4579.96 before encountering resistance and falling back, currently trading around 4564. Although the short-term rebound is relatively strong, the overall market remains in a weak downward pattern, with the rebound being a technical correction rather than a trend reversal.

Market Analysis: Technical perspective on the 1-hour chart shows that after the price surged higher, a clear long upper shadow candlestick appeared, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually weakening; the KDJ indicator’s J value entered the overbought zone and turned downward, signaling a short-term pullback. On the news front, market expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve policy continue to rise, the US dollar index remains strong, and combined with the US stock market closure leading to tighter market liquidity, volatility has increased. This round of rebound in gold lacks fundamental support, with limited upward space and a higher probability of pulling back under pressure.

Trading Suggestions: In the short term, continue to follow the trend for high short positions. When prices rebound to key resistance zones around 4575 and 4595, consider gradually opening short positions. Short-term targets are first set at 4545 and 4525; if these levels are broken effectively, further downside targets include the 4500 level. Recent market volatility is significant, so strict risk control is essential—enter with light positions, set stop-loss orders, and avoid holding large positions. Follow the trend to seize stable trading opportunities.