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The situation in the U.S. market is at the most tense point of a “fight while negotiating” phase.
If both sides formally sign an agreement in the next few days, the situation will quickly ease;
If talks break down, the current blockade and heightened tension may further intensify. The weekend market is once again playing out a V-reversal, just like last weekend. This is all triggered by rapid pin-falls caused by a five-minute candle break.
Today’s price has returned to the 2157-2076 range.
To turn around this four-hour downward leg, you still need another fifty minutes of a huge move type; otherwise, it won’t be able to correct and digest the bearish momentum.
The BTC setup is a bit stronger—only a quick surge accompanying the break above 77,500 would allow us to speculate that a rebound is starting on the four-hour chart. The main judgment standard is around 75,950.
2108-2123 remains the core mid-axis of the range-bound (oscillation) move: bearish pressure is strong below, and bearish pressure is weak above.