Analyst: SpaceX's IPO Sprint Raises Major Concerns Over AI Business

On May 22, analyst Robert Cyran stated that Elon Musk's SpaceX is preparing to enter the public market with a valuation of $1.75 trillion. However, its prospectus is deeply entangled in the 'black hole' of artificial intelligence hype, with a significant portion of the issues stemming from xAI. xAI has incurred extremely large capital expenditure demands, burning through $7.7 billion in the first three months of this year, more than three times the amount from the same period last year, accounting for over three-quarters of SpaceX's total investments. Additionally, a $2.5 billion operating loss in the first quarter is enough to drag the entire company into the red. Furthermore, SpaceX has reached an agreement with Anthropic, which is renting idle computing power from Musk's Colossus data center for approximately $1.3 billion per month. Considering that xAI's revenue over the past 12 months was just slightly above $3 billion, the main business of this division has effectively turned into renting out idle servers. The real issue is that SpaceX's core AI business has not made significant progress, with Grok lagging behind competitors in various benchmark tests and first-quarter revenue growing by less than 13% year-on-year. Meanwhile, Anthropic is expected to achieve a quarterly growth rate five times that of SpaceX. In a sense, SpaceX is indeed a 'rocket ship.' However, from a financial perspective, it still struggles to reach 'escape velocity.'
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