Today’s market looks quite interesting: 📊 BTC $77,103 (+0.4%), steady as a rock 📉 Fear and Greed Index: 25, Extreme Fear 💸 BTC ETFs saw net outflows of $1.2 billion this week, the third-largest weekly outflow 🇮🇷 Iran denies Trump’s claim that the “Strait of Hormuz will open,” saying the strait is still under Iran’s “full management” 🏦 The newly appointed U.S. Federal Reserve chair, Warsh, was sworn in; traders are betting on rate hikes in 2026. BTC has held around 77k, but the surrounding atmosphere is all fear—ETF capital fleeing, geopolitical swings, rising hawkish expectations for the new Fed chair, and altcoins bleeding across the board (DOT -3.6%, SUI -3.2%). This reminds me of a saying: “When others are fearful, I am greedy”—but the problem is that after fear, there might be even more fear.

The plot of the past 48 hours has been almost more outrageous than a movie: Trump says the U.S.-Iran deal is “basically settled,” BTC surges; Iran then says, “What Trump said is incomplete,” and the market pulls back again. In the dark crude oil market, crude plunges 9%, and crypto rides a roller coaster—over 110k liquidations in 24 hours, with $737 million wiped out. To be honest, both bulls and bears have their arguments:

Bullish: Extreme fear is often a contrarian indicator; BTC hasn’t broken the $75k support
Bearish: Continued ETF outflows + Warsh’s hawkish stance + geopolitical uncertainty mean the downside risk is far greater than the upside room

💬 What position are you in right now? Would you dare to add to your position at 77k, or keep waiting? What would you do if it drops to 70k?