Economist: Even if the US and Iran reach an agreement, oil prices this year will struggle to return to pre-conflict levels

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Golden Financial reports that on May 25th, Shane Oliver, Chief Economist at Australian wealth management firm AMP, stated that even if the United States and Iran reach an agreement, global oil prices are unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels this year. He pointed out that ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz again will take some time, and the market may incorporate higher risk premiums to account for potential future supply disruptions. Before the conflict, WTI crude oil traded at about $67 per barrel. Oliver estimates that, considering the additional risk premium, WTI crude oil could be around $80 per barrel by the end of the year, while Brent crude oil might be around $85 per barrel at that time. "If the nuclear issue is not resolved, oil prices will be even higher," he said. (Jin10)
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