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2026.5.25 Bitcoin Market Analysis
I. Short-term Range Trading (Buy the dip, sell the rally)
· Bullish Conditions: Price retraces to the 76,500~76,600 zone (near the Bollinger middle band at 76,517), with a 15-minute level reversal signal (such as a long lower shadow, RSI6 returning to around 40).
· Entry: 76,550
· Stop Loss: Below 76,000 (if it breaks the previous low of 76,109, it turns weak)
· Take Profit: 77,300~77,500
· Risk-Reward Ratio: approximately 2:1
· Bearish Conditions: Price rebounds to the 77,400~77,530 zone (where MA60 and the 24-hour high coincide), with a stagnation candlestick (such as an upper shadow, RSI6 exceeding 70).
· Entry: 77,450
· Stop Loss: Above 77,850
· Take Profit: 76,600
· Risk-Reward Ratio: approximately 1.5:1
II. Trend Following (Requires breakout confirmation)
· Bullish Breakout: Volume increases and stabilizes above 77,550 (while MA60 is reclaimed), can lightly pursue long positions.
· Entry: 77,600
· Stop Loss: 76,900
· Take Profit: 78,300→78,800
· Bearish Breakdown: Volume drops below 76,000, likely testing the lower Bollinger band around 74,700.
· Entry: 75,900
· Stop Loss: 76,500
· Take Profit: 75,000→74,700