Analysis: $1.26 Billion Bitcoin ETF Outflow May Signal 'Reverse Buy'

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On May 23, crypto analytics platform Santiment reported that the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a cumulative net outflow of approximately $1.26 billion over the past six trading days, which may instead constitute a 'reverse buy signal' for Bitcoin. Santiment believes that ETF fund flows reflect retail sentiment more than changes in 'smart money' positions. The report noted that some retail investors have lost patience as Bitcoin failed to hold above $80,000 in May, with the current BTC price around $75,400, down from a high of about $79,000 on May 16. Santiment stated that historically, sustained ETF outflows often correspond to phases that are 'suitable for patient accumulation,' rather than market panic. However, this view diverges from mainstream market opinions. Most analysts believe that continuous outflows from the spot Bitcoin ETF typically indicate weakening market sentiment and that prices may face further pressure. On the other hand, Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that since the ETF's launch, cumulative net inflows have approached $60 billion, essentially recovering from the impact of approximately $9 billion in outflows from October last year to February this year, and he expects that with the launch of more ETF products, the inflow scale is likely to set new historical highs.
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