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CME Federal Reserve Watch: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year has exceeded 67%

MarsBitNews
Mars Finance News, on May 24th, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 32.1%, the probability of a total increase of 25 basis points is 42.5%, the probability of a total increase of 50 basis points is 20.6%, the probability of a total increase of 75 basis points is 4.4%, and the probability of a total increase of 100 basis points is 0.4%.
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This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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Stop-LossIsLikeAConfession
· 9h ago
The probability of a total 50 basis point rate hike is 20.6%. Is Powell aiming for a hard landing or a soft landing? The script is becoming more and more intense.
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PeonyMemo
· 12h ago
The data is from May 24th, and now it seems it might be different again; Fed speeches are even harder to predict than on-chain gas.
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CandleWickPoet
· 12h ago
42.5% chance to add 25 basis points, the market consensus expectation, but there are often surprises when it actually happens; we're used to it.
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MetalRoboticArm
· 12h ago
The 0.4% probability of a 100 basis point rate hike—who's betting on this? The warriors.
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RedGlass
· 12h ago
There are seven months left at the end of the year, and this probability distribution changes every week. It's too early to bet now.
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DaoAfterparty
· 12h ago
With such high expectations of interest rate hikes, the US dollar is strengthening, and capital outflow pressure from emerging markets has returned. Be cautious in the crypto space.
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PineNeedlesAndColdWind
· 12h ago
32.1% unchanged vs 67.9% rate hike, should the bears start popping champagne?
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RocksUnderTheAurora
· 12h ago
CME observation tools are just a reference; real decisions still depend on inflation data and employment, don't let probabilities lead the rhythm.
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