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Next week's market focus: Three key variables
1. Progress of the US-Iran Agreement
Iran has stated that the memorandum is in the final stages of agreement. If the deal is finalized, the crude oil risk premium will diminish, inflation expectations will ease, providing short-term sentiment support for cryptocurrencies. However, caution is needed regarding the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" realization pressure.
2. April PCE Data (Thursday)
The market is currently pricing in over a 60% chance of a December rate hike. If the PCE exceeds expectations, it will further reinforce hawkish expectations and suppress risk assets; if below expectations, a rebound window will open. This is the most influential macro indicator next week.
3. US stock market holiday (Monday)
Liquidity is relatively weak, and prices are more susceptible to small trades. It is recommended to reduce leverage from the weekend through Monday morning to prevent pin risk. $BTC #特朗普称美伊正敲定协议细节