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SpaceX's First IPO Market Cap Prediction: $1.75–2 Trillion - Bubble or Starry Sea?
In May 2026, they will submit the S-1 registration statement, aiming for a valuation of $1.75–2 trillion and raising $75 billion, challenging the largest IPO in history.
Key highlights: Starlink (cash cow, 10.3 million users), rocket launches (supported by government contracts), xAI (high investment, burning money) three major sectors.
Optimists bet on the "space + AI" trillion-dollar track;
From a cautious perspective, revenue in 2025 is only $18.67 billion, with a price-to-sales ratio close to 100, far surpassing tech giants like Nvidia and Apple.
The true value may only be $20k–$1.2 trillion, with bubbles and solid value coexisting, depending on Starlink's profitability realization and xAI's rollout pace.