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Trump's one sentence, causing collective insomnia among global traders: Is this agreement real or fake?
Rumors of the Iran and United States agreement have recently ignited the market completely.
But who is suffering the most?
Not the shorts.
Nor the longs.
But the high-leverage players.
Because now the market has entered a classic mode:
"First surge on news, then calm down and sell off wildly."
Especially Trump's speaking style, the market is very familiar with it.
One sentence can send crude oil soaring;
The next can make gold plunge.
So now many traders' daily routines have become:
Wake up, check the news;
Midday, check Trump;
Evening, adjust stop-loss.
In the past, everyone studied the Federal Reserve.
Now everyone studies Trump's tone.
He says "close to reaching" — the market rises.
He says "good progress" — the market continues to rise.
He says "there are still issues" — global markets start to pull back.
This influence is now comparable to a real-time K-line engine.
The most absurd is in the crypto world.
BTC now looks a lot like an emotion amplifier.
Good news comes, it jumps immediately;
Bad news comes, it drops instantly.
Many people who just shorted yesterday are now forced into value investing today.
So the truly smart people are now reducing their positions.
Because they realize:
This market isn't about technicals.
It's about news reading speed.
In the past, traders competed to understand indicators;
Now, traders compete to have the fastest internet speed.
And the most dangerous part of the market is:
Everyone is betting on "peace expectations."
Once the details of the agreement fluctuate,
Risk aversion sentiment could suddenly rebound.
Then gold rebounds;
Crude oil surges;
BTC might start high-altitude bungee jumping again.
So the core logic of the market now is only one sentence:
"Don't get too excited, Trump's words always have a sequel."