BTC Market Analysis

1️⃣ Short-term forecast: Narrow fluctuations around 75,000, a slight rebound to the 77,000 level, then fluctuating again; take profit on long positions at 77,000, re-enter short positions around 78,000.

2️⃣ Risk warning: If the current support is broken, it will enter a downward vacuum period with no intermediate support, and the downward target directly points to 65,000.

3️⃣ Trading philosophy: There is no such thing as ultra-high win rate trading; strictly control stop-loss and drawdowns, standardize position management, and avoid adding positions on unrealized profits to disrupt the rhythm.

• ETH: Follows Bitcoin's weakness, with key support at the 2000 level.

• DOGE: Extremely weak trend, double top pressure causing a decline, oscillating around 0.1, no long opportunities at the moment.

• SOL: After long-term oscillation, touching the upper band and starting to fall back, only the lower band offers long opportunities, avoid blindly entering at the midline.

4️⃣ Sector logic: Only Bitcoin is suitable for short-term long betting; overall altcoin market is weak, with no value in going long, mainly following the trend to short.