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I have been trading for a long time and want to share with you one of the most useful concepts that completely changed my approach to analysis. It’s about the smart money strategy — a method that helps understand how big players act in the market.
At the core of this idea lies a simple truth: there are whales and there is the crowd in any market. Whales are large banks, hedge funds, institutional investors managing huge amounts of capital. They don’t just trade; they shape the market. And the most interesting part is — they always act contrary to most expectations.
Have you noticed how a beautifully technical triangle suddenly breaks in the opposite direction? Or a strong support level, from which everyone expected a reversal, is broken with a single impulse? This is no coincidence. A major player understands crowd psychology and intentionally draws formations that the crowd wants to see. That’s why 95 percent of small traders lose their money. Classic technical analysis is a tool for manipulation, not protection.
The smart money strategy works differently. It teaches you to see the market from a completely different angle. Instead of looking for pretty patterns, you start understanding where the whale is gathering liquidity. Liquidity is fuel for the big player. In practice, this means stop orders from small participants, which are usually behind obvious support and resistance levels, behind candle shadows, beyond figure boundaries.
The market has three main structures. An uptrend is a series of new highs with higher lows. A downtrend is a series of new lows with lower highs. And sideways movement — a flat — when the market fluctuates within a range without a clear trend. It’s during consolidation that the whale accumulates the position it needs. Through sideways movement, it gains the necessary liquidity.
When the price moves beyond the trading range boundaries — this is called a deviation. Very often, it signals a reversal and a return back into the corridor. Here lies one of the main opportunities for entry.
Next are reversal points — swigs. Swing high consists of three candles, where the central one has the highest high, and the neighboring ones are lower. This indicates a reversal downward. Swing low — on the contrary, the central candle has the lowest low, with the neighbors higher. Reversal upward.
A very important moment is the structure break. Break Of Structure (BOS) is an update of the structure within a trend. Change of Character (CHoCH) is a change in the trend’s direction itself. The first BOS after CHoCH is called Confirm and confirms the reversal.
Structures are divided into primary and secondary. Primary are higher timeframes, the main trend. Secondary are lower timeframes, occurring within the primary. Inside an uptrend, you find secondary down corrections and vice versa. The best trading is trend-following. To find a good entry point, go from higher to lower timeframes.
Now about liquidity in more detail. The largest cluster of orders is located behind significant highs and lows — these are liquidity pools, hunted by the whale. When highs and lows are equal, stop runs happen through the previous swings being broken with a candle shadow in an impulsive spike. This is called SFP — Swing Failure Pattern.
There is a pattern called imbalance — formed by a mismatch between buy and sell orders. On the chart, it appears as a long impulsive candle whose body breaks the shadows of neighboring candles. Imbalance acts like a magnet for the price. To restore balance, the whale will try to completely fill this gap.
Order block — a place where a large volume was traded by a big player. It’s a key liquidity manipulation point. In the future, order blocks serve as support or resistance and as a magnet that the price will tend to.
Divergence — when the price direction diverges from the indicator’s direction. Bullish divergence: price lows decrease, while indicator lows increase — a signal for upward reversal. Bearish divergence — the opposite. The older the timeframe, the stronger the signal. Triple divergence is a very strong reversal setup.
Volumes reflect the actual interest of participants. Growing volumes indicate trend strength, decreasing volumes — weakness. If the price rises in a bullish trend but volumes fall — this may signal an imminent reversal downward.
The There Drives Pattern (TDP) is a reversal pattern characterized by a series of higher highs or lower lows. Usually forms near support or resistance zones. Bullish TDP — a series of lower lows, bearish — a series of higher highs.
Three Tap Setup is similar to TDP but without the third lower low or higher high. Its main goal is for the big player to build a position in the support or resistance zone.
Trading session times are important. Asian from 03:00 to 11:00, European (London) from 09:00 to 17:00, American (New York) from 16:00 to 24:00 Moscow time. During the day, three cycles occur: accumulation in Asia, manipulation in Europe, distribution in America.
The Chicago CME exchange trades from Monday to Friday. Opening at 01:00 Moscow time on Monday, closing at 24:00 on Friday. Between 00:00 and 01:00, trading is paused, which can create gaps. On classic crypto exchanges, trading runs 24/7, so over the weekend, the rate can change, and on Monday CME may open with a gap. Most gaps are eventually fully closed.
Crypto heavily depends on the traditional stock market. The S&P 500 has a positive correlation with Bitcoin — usually, when the index rises, BTC rises too. DXY — the dollar index, has a negative correlation with crypto. When DXY rises, BTC falls. For a clear picture, don’t neglect these indices.
That’s the smart money strategy. It helps identify the actions of big players and explains the nature of their manipulations. With this concept, you’ll learn to profit from whale movements and trade in sync with them. Good luck in trading.