Once I started tracking stablecoin supply, ETF net inflows, and my own off-chain currency exchanges, my biggest takeaway wasn't "more accurate predictions," but a more stable mindset: many times they just rise and fall together, seeming to have a cause-and-effect relationship, but actually it might just be the same wave of emotion driving them. When you get too involved, it's easy to think you've found the main control switch; honestly, it's just correlation fooling me into getting excited. Recently, the incentives on the testnet and the expectations for points have made the question "Will the mainnet issue tokens?" very heated, and I get tempted too, but now I prefer to first pull out this string of clues and look at it separately: is the capital coming in to play tasks, or preparing to stay long-term... Anyway, no need to rush to conclusions.