Li Mingyang BTC/ETH 1-Hour Candle Analysis and Long/Short Strategy

BTC shows a weak structure of rising sharply and then falling back, with the center of gravity moving downward on the 1-hour chart. In the morning, it surged to 78,086 before continuously facing downward pressure. In the evening, a volume surge produced a long bearish candle breaking below key support, with the lowest touching 76,569, indicating a fierce short-term downtrend. The current price is 76,878, at a stage low. After a small rebound from the concentrated bearish momentum, the overall trend remains suppressed by moving averages, with weak rebound strength, and the bearish trend has not yet reversed.

Long position strategy:
Only as a short-term rebound attempt, with strict risk control.
Entry: If the price retraces to the 76,570-76,600 zone and stabilizes (no longer making new lows), try a small long position
Stop loss: Exit unconditionally if it falls below 76,500
Take profit: Target the 77,300-77,500 zone, with a break below aiming for around 77,800.

Short position strategy:
Follow the current bearish trend, prioritize shorting on rebound resistance.
Entry: When rebounding to the 77,500-77,700 zone and encountering resistance (pressure and falling back), consider scaling into short positions
Stop loss: Exit unconditionally if it breaks above 78,000
Take profit: Target the 76,600-76,570 zone, with a break below aiming for around 76,200.

ETH 1-hour trend is highly synchronized with BTC. It surged to 2,153.69 in the morning before continuing to oscillate downward. In the evening, it followed BTC with volume expansion, with the lowest touching 2,112.37. The current price is 2,121.73, also in a weak rebound phase. Price is suppressed by short-term moving averages, with weaker rebound strength than BTC. The overall bearish trend is clear, maintained only by slight recovery after overselling.

Long position strategy:
Short-term oversold rebound, try with a small position.
Entry: If the price retraces to 2,113-2,115 and stabilizes, try a small long
Stop loss: Exit unconditionally if it falls below 2,110
Take profit: Target the 2,133-2,135 zone, with a break aiming for around 2,145.

Short position strategy:
Follow the bearish trend, mainly short on rebound resistance.
Entry: When rebounding to 2,135-2,140 and encountering resistance, and falling back, consider scaling into short positions
Stop loss: Exit unconditionally if it breaks above 2,150
Take profit: Target the 2,115-2,113 zone, with a break aiming for around 2,105.

⚠️ The above is only my personal short-term analysis based on 1-hour candles. Market volatility is intense, please ensure proper position management, set strict stop losses, and operate cautiously. $BTC